Understanding the Effect of Abortion Attitudes on Elections After Dobbs: Evidence from Cross-Sectional and Panel Surveys in Texas
In this article, we analyze surveys that tracked voter attitudes on abortion policy before and after the Dobbs decision.
Among its many consequential effects, the U.S. Supreme Court's 6 to 3 decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, on June 24, 2022, changed the context for how the public assesses responsibility for regulating abortion access. In the wake of the ruling, public policy responses by states will undoubtedly test existing theories of public opinion and vote choice. Given the presumed connection between policy positions and partisan vote choice, it is especially important for political scientists to assess the extent to which “de-nationalizing” abortion policy changes the salience and electoral import of the issue. In this article, we focus on a specific element of this broader assessment: to what extent does the public holds incumbents accountable for enacting policies that differ from other states or from what the national policy used to be?
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This paper was originally published by Social Science Quarterly
Politics
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Long Distance Migration as a Two-Step Sorting Process: The Resettlement of Californians in Texas
Here we press the question of whether the well-documented stream of migrants relocating from California to Texas has been sufficient to alter the political complexion of the destination state.
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Who's That Knocking? A Study of the Strategic Choices Facing Large-Scale Grassroots Canvassing Efforts
Although there is a consensus that personalized forms of campaign outreach are more likely to be effective at either mobilizing or even persuading voters, there remains uncertainty about how campaigns should implement get-out-the-vote (GOTV) programs, especially at a truly expansive scale.
‘America First’ Can’t Be ‘America Alone'
Trump's 'new golden age' will require the U.S. to build bridges, even as they seek to raise tolls.
A Big TikTok Consideration Trump Needs to Prioritize on Day One
President Trump faces a host of legal issues related to the 2024 Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act
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Symposium: What Does the Middle East Mean to US?
Elliott Abrams, Jonathan Schanzer, and John Yoo evaluate the changing contours of the Middle East and American strategy.
The Competing Tensions in America's Middle East Policy
The success of President Trump's Middle East policy will depend on whether he can reconcile his competing impulses with the facts on the ground.
