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Trump’s Tariff Gambit: How to Win a Trade War with Mexico and Canada
Trump's tariffs are part of a calculated strategy aimed at achieving specific policy goals.
The White House announced Feb. 1 that President Trump was implementing new 25 percent tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10 percent tariff on imports from China. It is an unpopular move, as demonstrated by the earlier letter to Trump from former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers and former Senate Banking Committee Chairman Phil Gramm (R-Texas), detailing how tariffs will be bad for America and the world, and signed by more than 1,000 economists.
But opposition from globalists and economists does not mean that tariffs might not benefit the U.S. To many, a trade war evokes images of economic chaos. But within the Trumpian playbook, it’s a calculated strategy aimed at achieving specific policy goals.
In Trump’s view, the unique economic relationship between the U.S. and its North American neighbors presents an opportunity for the U.S. to emerge victorious. The key lies in understanding the inherent vulnerabilities of Mexico and Canada, both of whom send more than 75 percent of their exports to the U.S. This dependence forms the bedrock of Trump’s strategy.
Politics
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Long Distance Migration as a Two-Step Sorting Process: The Resettlement of Californians in Texas
Here we press the question of whether the well-documented stream of migrants relocating from California to Texas has been sufficient to alter the political complexion of the destination state.
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Who's That Knocking? A Study of the Strategic Choices Facing Large-Scale Grassroots Canvassing Efforts
Although there is a consensus that personalized forms of campaign outreach are more likely to be effective at either mobilizing or even persuading voters, there remains uncertainty about how campaigns should implement get-out-the-vote (GOTV) programs, especially at a truly expansive scale.
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Red Veep
Arthur Herman reviews The World That Wasn’t: Henry Wallace and the Fate of the American Century by Benn Steil
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‘America First’ Can’t Be ‘America Alone'
Trump's 'new golden age' will require the U.S. to build bridges, even as they seek to raise tolls.
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The Bills are Piling High for States
Red and blue states will come further apart on fiscal policy in the coming years.
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Symposium: What Does the Middle East Mean to US?
Elliott Abrams, Jonathan Schanzer, and John Yoo evaluate the changing contours of the Middle East and American strategy.