Example Image
Civitas Outlook
Topic
Pursuit of Happiness
Published on
Sep 9, 2025
Contributors
Joel Kotkin
Wendell Cox
Photo by Awaneesh Kishore on Unsplash

Exodus: Affordability Crisis Sends Americans Packing From Big Cities

Contributors
Joel Kotkin
Joel Kotkin
Senior Research Fellow
Joel Kotkin
Wendell Cox
Wendell Cox
Wendell Cox
Summary

Urban cores have started to shrink, losing first to the suburbs, then to ever further exurbs, and now to small towns and even rural areas.

Summary

Urban cores have started to shrink, losing first to the suburbs, then to ever further exurbs, and now to small towns and even rural areas.

Listen to this article

For much of the past century, in both the United States and elsewhere, the inexorable trend has been for people to move from rural areas and towns to ever larger cities, particularly those with vibrant downtown cores such as New York, Chicago, San Francisco, Seattle, and dozens of other iconic American cities. Most visions of the future still view urban cores as the uncontested centers of production, consumption, and culture, with rural areas, small cities, and suburbs relegated to the backwaters of modernity.

A RealClearInvestigations analysis has found that we may be on the cusp of a new era. Urban cores have started to shrink, losing first to the suburbs, then to ever further exurbs, and now to small towns and even rural areas. For the first time since the 19th century, America’s growth pattern favors smaller metros – Fargo, North Dakota, as opposed to Portland, Oregon – many of which once seemed out of favor.

This transformation can be hard to detect because demographers often discuss metropolitan regions, which put city centers at their cores. But this method of classification masks the trend that much of the growth is at the edges of these areas. In virtually all the fastest-growing metros, it has been the further-out exurbs, themselves until recently rural areas, that have experienced most of the expansion. While Raleigh, North Carolina – a sleepy state capital for much of its history – continues to draw migrants from across the country, the most explosive growth is not occurring in the city center but the surrounding “countrypolitan” towns of Apex, Fuquay-Varina, and Zebulon that offer land and a relaxed rural environment along with access to modern amenities.

Continue reading at RealClear Investigations.

10:13
1x
10:13
More articles

A Doctor In Full

Pursuit of Happiness
Oct 17, 2025

Racing Earnhardt

Pursuit of Happiness
Oct 17, 2025
View all

Join the newsletter

Receive new publications, news, and updates from the Civitas Institute.

Sign up
More on

Pursuit of Happiness

Revival: Americans Heading Back to the Hinterlands

Smaller communities throughout the country are poised to play an outsize role in forging our future.

Joel Kotkin, Wendell Cox
Pursuit of Happiness
Sep 19, 2025
How to Save Our Urban Centers

What will the future of American cities look like?

Joel Kotkin
Pursuit of Happiness
Jun 26, 2025
National Poll from Civitas Institute: Americans Concerned About AI, Economic Issues

The Civitas Institute Poll, conducted from March 11-20, 2025, asked 1,200 Americans an array of questions about how things are going in the country.

Daron Shaw
Pursuit of Happiness
Jun 11, 2025
Divorce, Family Arrangements, and Children's Adult Outcomes

This paper uses linked tax and Census records for over 5 million children to examine how divorce affects family arrangements and children's long-term outcomes.

Andrew C. Johnston
Pursuit of Happiness
May 22, 2025
Peter Robinson Unbridled - A Civitas Institute Podcast

Peter Robinson Unbridled

A new show and podcast bringing the energy of Austin to wide-ranging conversations on politics, economics, education, and culture.

View all
** items
Stanford’s Graduate Student Union Tries to Stifle Dissent

The university may fire me because I won’t pay dues to a labor organization whose views I find repugnant.

Jonathan Hartley
Pursuit of Happiness
Aug 29, 2025
The 529 Education Revolution Is Here

Tax-free accounts have become more powerful, but some states are resisting.

Michael Toth, Dan Lips
Pursuit of Happiness
Aug 28, 2025
The Next Californias

Colorado, Washington, and Oregon have adopted many of the policies contributing to the Golden State’s decline.

Joel Kotkin
Pursuit of Happiness
Aug 25, 2025
The Moral Collapse on Campus Is a Result of the Hollowing Out of the Humanities

Mending a civic and intellectual catastrophe.

Alexander Duff
Pursuit of Happiness
Aug 18, 2025

Robert George and Cornel West - Truth Matters, A Book Talk

Pursuit of Happiness
Sep 26, 2025
1:05

Arthur Brooks on the Secret to a Fulfilling Life

Pursuit of Happiness
Jul 7, 2025
1:05

Populism Unpacked: Voices from the Heartland

Pursuit of Happiness
Mar 4, 2025
1:05

Jeff Rosen on What “The Pursuit of Happiness” Meant to America's Founders

Pursuit of Happiness
Jan 26, 2025
1:05

Arthur C. Brooks on the Pursuit of Happiness in an Unhappy World

Pursuit of Happiness
May 8, 2024
1:05
No items found.
No items found.
A Doctor In Full

The goal is not a doctor who has eliminated the contradictions of pain, caring, and death — that is impossible — but one who at least comprehends it.

Ronald W. Dworkin
Pursuit of Happiness
Oct 17, 2025
Racing Earnhardt

This is what American greatness looks like, and in our strange, chaotic, anger-filled world, Altman’s documentary is like an oasis.

Emina Melonic
Pursuit of Happiness
Oct 17, 2025
Dallin Oaks: From Legal Giant to Leader of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints

Oaks decided not to be “a lawyer who had been called as an apostle,” but rather “an apostle who used to be a lawyer.”

Aaron L. Nielson
Pursuit of Happiness
Oct 15, 2025
Conversion by Inches?

On Charles Murray's fides et ratio.

Brian Smith
Pursuit of Happiness
Oct 10, 2025
No items found.